Friday, January 22, 2010

Obama needs to be cautious and should let Sana'a deal with al-Qaeda on Yemeni soil

On the other hand, its regime is following the Al Capone maxim of “Gun and nice words” with the home grown version of al-Qaeda. It has acknowledged an open confrontation against al-Qaeda, which has been emerging powerfully since January 2009 when the Yemeni limb fused with the Saudi to form the so-called ‘al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula’ (AQAP). The US and the UK is teaming up to facilitate Yemen, which is faced with an armed uprising in the north and greater-than-ever separatist attitudes in the south. And, it has started showing results. “The latest strike that killed several al-Qaeda members was in coordination between Yemen, US and other Arab nations. It has left them confused and has deterred tribesmen, who were gradually been enticed by them,” said Obaid al-Jamhi, a Sana’a-based expert on terror tactics, while talking to TSI.

However, Yemen’s President Ali Abdullah Saleh has also sent clear signals that he is willing to talk to al-Qaida members who have laid their arms and suggested that he might offer them the same kind of clemency as he has done with other militants in the past. This cautious approach of Yemen is justified amid worries over a probable backlash in a nation where antagonism against the US is common.

It is to avoid the West-trained Yemeni Special Forces troops that were posted in the eastern sectors where most of the operators are holed-up and are trying to provoke the most traditionalist tribes against America and “the traitor Yemeni regime”, who have launched a “Crusade” against them. Also, thousands of Yemenis are battle-hardened veterans of previous “Jihads” in Afghanistan, Bosnia, Chechnya and Iraq, and although they are busy with their lives right now, it won’t come as surprise if they join ranks with al-Qaeda in response to attacks.

Experts suggest that if the West involves itself directly, then the present strength of al-Qaeda will increase to millions from the current 400-odd operatives. It is not for nothing that they say in Yemen, “Ya Gharib Kun Adib”. That means "A foreigner should be well-behaved."

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Source :
IIPM Editorial, 2009


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